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2024-12-14 03:20:39

Citigroup: It is expected that the gold and silver markets will resume their gradual upward trend within 3-12 months, reaching $3,000/ounce and $36/ounce respectively. Under basic conditions, it is expected that the price of crude oil will gradually drop to 60 USD/barrel in the middle of 2025, and will remain near this level in the second half of 2025 and 2026.Bank of Communications International: In November, the penetration rate of new energy vehicles in the mainland was 52.3%, and the performance in December was optimistic. Bank of Communications International published a research report to give the mainland auto industry a leading rating. According to the report, the retail sales of passenger cars increased by 16.5% year-on-year in November; The retail penetration rate of new energy vehicles was 52.3%, exceeding 50% for the fifth consecutive month, and the retail sales of new energy vehicles increased by 50.5% year-on-year. In November, the export growth slowed down, and the proportion of new energy vehicles fell to 20%. The bank pointed out that considering that the Spring Festival in 2025 is earlier than that in 2024, some car purchases before the Spring Festival will be completed by the end of 2024, and the subsidy policy for trade-in will enter the final stage in December, and some car companies are also sprinting sales through promotional activities. The bank expects the passenger car market in December. It is expected to maintain the potential of the current retail sales to continue to increase year by year. However, after the sales sprint in December, the auto market entered the off-season of consumption, so it is necessary to be cautious that the stock price performance of the auto sector may fluctuate.Before the Bank of Japan's policy meeting, it released chaotic signals. Japanese traders were confused about when to raise interest rates. After the Bank of Japan officials' remarks and media reports sent different signals, traders have been confused about when the central bank might raise interest rates in the past week. This kind of confusion led to sharp fluctuations in the market's interest rate hike bets. The overnight index swap pricing showed that the probability of raising interest rates in December was 22%, which was significantly lower than 60% at the beginning of last week. This week, the yen fell from 150 last Friday to a low of 152.18 to the dollar, and the exchange rate was 151.73 at 10:40 Tokyo time. Kazuo Ueda, governor of the Bank of Japan, said in an interview last month that the interest rate hike was approaching. A few days later, a report by the news agency emphasized the concern of the central bank about raising interest rates prematurely. Tomaki Nakamura, a member of the Dove Policy Committee, said last week that he was not opposed to raising interest rates, but this month's policy decision must consider data factors.


Head of South Korea's senior public official crime investigation department: If the conditions are met, it will seek to arrest Yin Xiyue. The head of South Korea's senior public official crime investigation department said that if the conditions are met, the team will seek to arrest President Yin Xiyue or seek to issue an arrest warrant for him. On Wednesday, when answering questions raised by opposition lawmakers at the National Assembly meeting, Oh Dong-woon indicated that he had the intention to arrest Yin Xiyue.Israeli military: In the past 48 hours, it has attacked Syria's "most strategic weapons reserves". The Israel Defense Forces said on the 11th that in the past 48 hours, the Israeli army has attacked Syria's "most strategic weapons reserves". According to Israeli media reports, the Israeli army has destroyed "70% to 80% of the strategic military capability of the Assad regime".Head of South Korea's senior public official crime investigation department: If the conditions are met, it will seek to arrest Yin Xiyue. The head of South Korea's senior public official crime investigation department said that if the conditions are met, the team will seek to arrest President Yin Xiyue or seek to issue an arrest warrant for him. On Wednesday, when answering questions raised by opposition lawmakers at the National Assembly meeting, Oh Dong-woon indicated that he had the intention to arrest Yin Xiyue.


There is a wave of "restriction on purchases" in the public offering market. The announcement of Huitianfu Fund on December 11th shows that since December 12th, Huitianfu Enhanced Income Bond A has suspended large-scale subscription, large-scale conversion and large-scale fixed investment business, and the amount of single or multiple cumulative subscriptions, conversion and fixed investment in a single fund account per day should not exceed 10 million yuan (inclusive). Recently, the reporter found that there is a "restricted purchase tide" in the public offering market. Whether it is active equity funds, bond funds or QDII funds, many outstanding products have recently announced the suspension of large-scale subscription, and even QDII products have directly "closed the market" and suspended all buying operations. (CSI)The "moderately loose" monetary policy boosted the confidence of all parties. A50ETF Huabao (159596) attracted 17.02 million yuan of gold yesterday. On December 11, the Shanghai Composite Index fluctuated within a narrow range in the morning, and A50ETF Huabao (159596) fell slightly by 0.18% with a turnover of 84.21 million yuan. In terms of constituent stocks, the top ten awkward stocks are mixed. On the upside, Midea Group led the gains, followed by Zijin Mining and Changjiang Power. On the downside, Hengrui Pharma led the decline. In terms of capital flow, A50ETF Huabao (159596) received a net inflow of 17.02 million yuan yesterday. China Post Securities said that the the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting continued to actively set the tone, and the policy turned loose, and expanding domestic demand in all directions became the current policy direction. This meeting made it clear that "strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment" and the fiscal policy adjustment was "more active", which basically met market expectations; The monetary policy is set to be "moderately loose", and the tone is adjusted again after 14 years. Next year, it is expected to be wide in currency and credit.Japan Life Insurance announced that it would spend $8.2 billion to acquire the life insurance company Resolution Life. On December 11th, Japan Life Insurance Mutual announced that it would spend about $8.2 billion to acquire the remaining 77% shares of the life insurance company Resolution Life. The transaction is expected to be completed in the second half of 2025. On the same day, Japan Life announced that it would acquire the remaining 20% shares of MLC Life Insurance from National Bank of Australia (NAB) and integrate MLC with Resolution Life.

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